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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00beachboy4Flaznorpgod83743894
Record (consensus markets)no settled marketno settled market52% (6509–6024, n=12533)27% (3415–9025, n=12440)
Consensus PnL——$3.6M-$132K
Tracked as——PM monthly #19PM monthly #216
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position70% (127 of 181 open)75% (126 of 169 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +3 pts n=59, ROI +3%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Weather −7 pts, n=6486
Settled positions, side won——56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%25% of 9461 at avg 31¢, ROI −5%
Entries under 30¢——29% (won 11% of 465)72% (won 0% of 6802)
Entries 30–50¢——16% (won 40% of 255)2% (won 39% of 165)
Entries 50–70¢——16% (won 62% of 260)2% (won 55% of 224)
Entries 70¢ and up——39% (won 94% of 637)24% (won 96% of 2270)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.