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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00cryingbabydicer87Flaznorpjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)no settled market47% (6724–7597, n=14321)52% (6473–6009, n=12482)45% (10–12, n=22)
Consensus PnL—$19K$3.6M$5.3M
Tracked as—was PM monthly #699PM monthly #19PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position91% (126 of 139 open)74% (119 of 160 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Crypto −2 pts, n=3902Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—51% of 4244 at avg 52¢, ROI 0%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—41% (won 8% of 1743)29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢—13% (won 39% of 571)16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢—8% (won 72% of 360)16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up—37% (won 96% of 1570)39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.