Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00hurricanndb1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)no settled market74% (1212–429, n=1641)65% (888–469, n=1357)no settled market
Consensus PnL—-$270K$4.2M—
Tracked as—PM monthly #230PM monthly #148—
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position74% (34 of 46 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Other Sports −2 pts, n=25NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won—87% of 1464 at avg 76¢, ROI +10%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%—
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 31% of 16)13% (won 15% of 168)—
Entries 30–50¢—8% (won 64% of 122)20% (won 39% of 256)—
Entries 50–70¢—18% (won 84% of 261)24% (won 58% of 314)—
Entries 70¢ and up—73% (won 92% of 1065)43% (won 93% of 550)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.