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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4Hyperlongndb1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4522–3297, n=7819)no settled market49% (307–324, n=631)63% (990–573, n=1563)
Consensus PnL$7.8M—-$89K$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #68—was PM monthly #998PM monthly #105
Sides with the consensus67% (12 of 18 open)no open consensus position61% (125 of 206 open)74% (82 of 111 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Crypto −7 pts, n=83NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%—47% of 595 at avg 48¢, ROI −2%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)—44% (won 2% of 260)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)—6% (won 34% of 38)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)—8% (won 54% of 46)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)—42% (won 93% of 251)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4Hyperlongndb1
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $178No $335K
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.8KYes $29
Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $358No $173
Will Arch Manning be the first overall pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $344Yes $3
Will Jeremiyah Love win the 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus No
——No $504No $408
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
——No $130No $678
Will Erling Haaland score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?
same side · consensus No
——No $315No $220