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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | esticamos | Flaznorp | robustmst | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (61–67, n=128) | 83% (5–1, n=6) | 75% (735–246, n=981) | 42% (13–18, n=31) |
| Consensus PnL | -$304K | $2.6K | $68K | $208K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #794 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #28 |
| Sides with the consensus | 25% (2 of 8 open) | no open consensus position | 68% (62 of 91 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35% | 67% of 6 at avg 63¢, ROI +9% | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | 100% of 13 at avg 45¢, ROI +50% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 0% of 1) | 17% (won 0% of 1) | 34% (won 10% of 30) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 94% of 17) | 0% | 19% (won 29% of 17) | 85% (won 100% of 11) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 100% of 33) | 50% (won 67% of 3) | 13% (won 55% of 11) | 15% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 100% of 16) | 33% (won 100% of 2) | 34% (won 83% of 30) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | esticamos | Flaznorp | robustmst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orleans: Jurij Rodionov vs Pedro Martinez same side · consensus Pedro Martinez | Jurij Rodionov $20K | — | Jurij Rodionov $6.2K | — |