Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465fantasy7788FlaznorpGaoJin-GamblingGod
Record (consensus markets)47% (64–71, n=135)43% (3–4, n=7)75% (744–249, n=993)50% (6–6, n=12)
Consensus PnL-$420K$421K$74K-$5.9K
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #49PM monthly #14PM monthly #989
Sides with the consensus50% (4 of 8 open)no open consensus position71% (110 of 155 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +35 pts n=17, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36%100% of 5 at avg 50¢, ROI +54%52% of 211 at avg 50¢, ROI +3%100% of 8 at avg 63¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 50% of 2)20% (won 100% of 1)31% (won 9% of 66)0%
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 95% of 19)20% (won 100% of 1)27% (won 45% of 56)0%
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 100% of 33)60% (won 100% of 3)13% (won 68% of 28)75% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 100% of 18)0%29% (won 97% of 61)25% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465fantasy7788FlaznorpGaoJin-GamblingGod
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Cameron Norrie
same side · consensus Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz $36K—Taylor Fritz $16K—
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Albany Great Danes
same side · consensus Dartmouth Big Green
Dartmouth Big Green $1.9K—Dartmouth Big Green $407—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
Vikings $90—Vikings $6—