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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | googleplay | KasonWong | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (71–72, n=143) | 50% (5–5, n=10) | 54% (7–6, n=13) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$252K | $430K | $630 | $4 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #17 | PM monthly #906 | PM monthly #146 |
| Sides with the consensus | 44% (15 of 34 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 50% (4 of 8 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 5 at avg 51¢, ROI +49% | 100% of 9 at avg 52¢, ROI +48% | 50% of 2 at avg 19¢, ROI +9% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 50% of 2) | 0% | 0% | 100% (won 50% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 95% of 19) | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 0% | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 100% of 33) | 80% (won 100% of 4) | 100% (won 100% of 9) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 100% of 18) | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | googleplay | KasonWong | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $789 | Over $22K | — | — |