Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677Malfunction.
Record (consensus markets)58% (4527–3305, n=7832)45% (10–12, n=22)98% (12033–295, n=12328)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$5.3M$639K
Tracked asPM monthly #52PM monthly #2PM monthly #334
Sides with the consensus77% (23 of 30 open)no open consensus position75% (3 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Geopolitics −6 pts, n=15
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%96% of 11549 at avg 96¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)12% (won 0% of 2)2% (won 18% of 235)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)6% (won 0% of 1)2% (won 48% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)65% (won 73% of 11)2% (won 56% of 177)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)18% (won 67% of 3)95% (won 99% of 10914)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677Malfunction.
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Dplus KIA $33—Bilibili Gaming $853
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Bilibili Gaming $241K—Bilibili Gaming $365K