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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | pakukudolphi | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4512–3287, n=7799) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 65% (901–484, n=1385) | 47% (80–92, n=172) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $5.3M | $4.4M | $164K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #71 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #101 | was PM monthly #989 |
| Sides with the consensus | 77% (17 of 22 open) | no open consensus position | 70% (106 of 151 open) | 89% (17 of 19 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | MLB −34 pts, n=12 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 43% of 190 at avg 45¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 38% (won 8% of 73) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 14% (won 33% of 27) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 21% (won 55% of 40) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 26% (won 90% of 50) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | pakukudolphi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? same side · consensus No | No $160K | — | — | No $6.5K |