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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | ndb1 | TheWindKnowsmyName | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4522–3297, n=7819) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 68% (183–85, n=268) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $3.2M | -$102K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #105 | was PM monthly #953 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (12 of 17 open) | 74% (82 of 111 open) | 49% (92 of 187 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 88% of 177 at avg 68¢, ROI +27% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 12% (won 33% of 21) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 14% (won 84% of 25) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 12% (won 90% of 21) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 62% (won 99% of 110) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | ndb1 | TheWindKnowsmyName |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $52K | — | No $1.8K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $93 | — | Yes $3.8K |