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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5095e97281f28d4d8549fd3834802c24cbb793eBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)50% (170–171, n=341)45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL$108K$11.0M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus100% (2 of 2 open)91% (150 of 165 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicMentions −8 pts, n=32—
Settled positions, side won58% of 380 at avg 48¢, ROI +9%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢37% (won 17% of 140)10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 50% of 56)36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢13% (won 90% of 50)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up35% (won 93% of 134)19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.