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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241akrolljoseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market35% (294–535, n=829)53% (10–9, n=19)65% (870–459, n=1329)
Consensus PnL—$121K$5.6M$4.2M
Tracked as—PM monthly #114PM monthly #1PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position59% (10 of 17 open)no open consensus position74% (25 of 34 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Elections −3 pts, n=72—NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won—44% of 394 at avg 46¢, ROI +7%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—52% (won 1% of 205)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢—2% (won 43% of 7)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 40% of 253)
Entries 50–70¢—4% (won 53% of 15)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 57% of 310)
Entries 70¢ and up—42% (won 96% of 167)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 544)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241akrolljoseph00677ndb1
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $62—Yes $118