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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241e46m3joseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market75% (11312–3785, n=15097)53% (10–9, n=19)65% (885–467, n=1352)
Consensus PnL—$925K$5.6M$4.2M
Tracked as—PM monthly #3PM monthly #1PM monthly #21
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position72% (318 of 439 open)no open consensus position82% (28 of 34 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +44 pts n=105, ROI +74%
  • Soccer +16 pts n=1115, ROI +27%
  • NBA +14 pts n=145, ROI +19%
Weakest topic—Politics −1 pts, n=49—NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won—63% of 4902 at avg 55¢, ROI +25%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—38% (won 20% of 1850)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢—7% (won 54% of 350)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 40% of 253)
Entries 50–70¢—9% (won 73% of 444)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 57% of 310)
Entries 70¢ and up—46% (won 98% of 2258)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 544)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.