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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241godblessme2026joseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)56% (101–79, n=180)30% (2903–6688, n=9591)53% (10–9, n=19)66% (875–457, n=1332)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$12K$5.6M$4.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #373PM monthly #544PM monthly #2PM monthly #22
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position75% (81 of 108 open)no open consensus position72% (91 of 127 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Economy −7 pts, n=157—NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%38% of 4134 at avg 41¢, ROI −2%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 75% of 8)58% (won 1% of 2400)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 93% of 29)2% (won 40% of 85)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 252)
Entries 50–70¢42% (won 96% of 47)4% (won 63% of 158)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 57% of 306)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 96% of 27)36% (won 96% of 1491)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 540)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241godblessme2026joseph00677ndb1
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $1—Yes $309