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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241hurricanjoseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)56% (101–79, n=180)74% (1200–423, n=1623)53% (10–9, n=19)65% (862–456, n=1318)
Consensus PnL$3.5M-$272K$5.6M$4.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #373PM monthly #188PM monthly #2PM monthly #69
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position71% (52 of 73 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −2 pts, n=25—NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%87% of 1446 at avg 76¢, ROI +10%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 75% of 8)1% (won 31% of 16)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 93% of 29)8% (won 65% of 120)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 252)
Entries 50–70¢42% (won 96% of 47)18% (won 84% of 258)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 57% of 306)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 96% of 27)73% (won 92% of 1052)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 540)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.