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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241ndb1northdrawerprimm
Record (consensus markets)no settled marketno settled market85% (17–3, n=20)53% (20–18, n=38)
Consensus PnL—$2-$494-$43K
Tracked as—PM monthly #152PM monthly #134PM monthly #71
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)92% (321 of 350 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=13, ROI +49%
Weakest topic——Economy −6 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won—50% of 2 at avg 19¢, ROI +9%92% of 169 at avg 93¢, ROI 0%100% of 20 at avg 51¢, ROI +48%
Entries under 30¢—100% (won 50% of 2)5% (won 0% of 8)5% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—0%2% (won 33% of 3)35% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢—0%2% (won 50% of 4)55% (won 100% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%91% (won 99% of 154)5% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.