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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241ndb1quietparcel
Record (consensus markets)no settled market63% (993–578, n=1571)41% (6786–9612, n=16398)
Consensus PnL—$4.8M-$120K
Tracked as—PM monthly #95PM monthly #242
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position72% (52 of 72 open)71% (27 of 38 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • MMA +2 pts n=16, ROI +2%
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=144Mentions −4 pts, n=646
Settled positions, side won—64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%39% of 5625 at avg 41¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢—13% (won 15% of 186)58% (won 1% of 3260)
Entries 30–50¢—19% (won 39% of 267)2% (won 39% of 118)
Entries 50–70¢—23% (won 58% of 326)4% (won 60% of 198)
Entries 70¢ and up—44% (won 94% of 619)36% (won 96% of 2049)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.