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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x61A8D4b326218a2Fd2AbD32b0670b16bA2F41Ad4-1785951411525sainttroplaysurfandturfjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)53% (120–108, n=228)71% (10–4, n=14)52% (273–252, n=525)50% (10–10, n=20)
Consensus PnL-$16K$4.4M$4.1M$5.3M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #777was PM monthly #11was PM monthly #326PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position0% (0 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MMA +4 pts n=148, ROI +10%
  • NBA +4 pts n=76, ROI +12%
Weakest topic——NFL −11 pts, n=58—
Settled positions, side won75% of 146 at avg 52¢, ROI +16%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢18% (won 48% of 27)0%20% (won 12% of 109)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 65% of 37)50% (won 100% of 5)21% (won 46% of 114)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢32% (won 83% of 47)50% (won 100% of 5)33% (won 60% of 176)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 97% of 35)0%26% (won 82% of 137)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.