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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x6E35F901bf88F7B0eb6E87Fb3C8e23C524dB8ca4-1767542008034BreakTheBank00gringo00
Record (consensus markets)40% (18–27, n=45)45% (542–652, n=1194)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL$27K$10.6M$3.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #831PM monthly #1was PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus100% (2 of 2 open)88% (133 of 151 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MMA +44 pts n=13, ROI +38%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 17 at avg 55¢, ROI +48%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 100% of 2)10% (won 82% of 56)0%
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 100% of 1)36% (won 98% of 198)0%
Entries 50–70¢76% (won 100% of 13)35% (won 99% of 191)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 100% of 1)19% (won 100% of 107)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.