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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x6b25c5c4d1e681d2203297803793ad8c732b7a69joseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)49% (1233–1284, n=2517)53% (10–9, n=19)66% (876–458, n=1334)
Consensus PnL$13K$5.6M$4.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #813PM monthly #2PM monthly #26
Sides with the consensus40% (30 of 75 open)no open consensus position72% (28 of 39 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=390—NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won47% of 1392 at avg 46¢, ROI +2%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢38% (won 10% of 523)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢18% (won 40% of 246)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 40% of 253)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 64% of 199)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 57% of 310)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 88% of 424)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 544)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.