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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x71Ac3cBB40647cB6DA6fa0Dc2923999Ad9c4d2b1-1781559429592beachboy4BreakTheBankjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)82% (60–13, n=73)68% (43–20, n=63)45% (542–652, n=1194)50% (10–10, n=20)
Consensus PnL$3.0K$5.8M$10.6M$5.3M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #575was PM monthly #24PM monthly #1PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)90% (146 of 163 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won100% of 60 at avg 82¢, ROI +16%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%—
Entries under 30¢2% (won 100% of 1)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 82% of 56)—
Entries 30–50¢0%29% (won 56% of 62)36% (won 98% of 198)—
Entries 50–70¢5% (won 100% of 3)54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 191)—
Entries 70¢ and up93% (won 100% of 56)14% (won 86% of 29)19% (won 100% of 107)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.