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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)52% (2506–2328, n=4834)75% (6–2, n=8)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$1.1K$3.5M$4.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #945was PM monthly #19PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus64% (9 of 14 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 4 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 1518 at avg 53¢, ROI +45%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 100% of 27)0%9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢37% (won 100% of 562)0%56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢52% (won 100% of 783)100% (won 86% of 7)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up10% (won 100% of 146)0%2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.