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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (8083–9849, n=17932) | 45% (545–663, n=1208) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | -$61K | $11.2M | $5.6M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #790 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 45% (14 of 31 open) | 66% (72 of 109 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 13139 at avg 45¢, ROI 0% | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 30% (won 16% of 3994) | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 34% (won 42% of 4476) | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 60% of 1929) | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 21% (won 87% of 2740) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $11K | No $187K | — | — |