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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816beachboy4BreakTheBankCORGII
Record (consensus markets)60% (538–360, n=898)no settled market45% (576–717, n=1293)41% (409–588, n=997)
Consensus PnL-$254K—$7.9M$170K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #308—PM monthly #3PM monthly #67
Sides with the consensus40% (4 of 10 open)no open consensus position88% (22 of 25 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won62% of 863 at avg 49¢, ROI +5%—97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 408 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 29% of 125)—10% (won 82% of 60)9% (won 92% of 37)
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 59% of 297)—35% (won 98% of 204)55% (won 99% of 226)
Entries 50–70¢43% (won 71% of 371)—35% (won 100% of 202)34% (won 100% of 138)
Entries 70¢ and up8% (won 83% of 70)—20% (won 100% of 116)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.