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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816joseph00677RN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)61% (495–320, n=815)50% (10–10, n=20)47% (13860–15343, n=29203)45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL$4.8M$5.3M$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #51PM monthly #2PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus56% (5 of 9 open)no open consensus position75% (6 of 8 open)89% (147 of 165 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicSoccer ±0 pts, n=115———
Settled positions, side won60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 29% of 125)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2537)10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 58% of 283)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5518)36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢43% (won 69% of 354)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 8928)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 80% of 60)18% (won 67% of 3)32% (won 100% of 7821)19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.