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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xC9BFc7986767173b4f1c3FC9B2c6b255FBreakTheBankjoseph00677CORGII
Record (consensus markets)53% (152–135, n=287)45% (542–652, n=1194)53% (10–9, n=19)61% (395–248, n=643)
Consensus PnL$223K$11.0M$5.6M$194K
Tracked asPM monthly #50PM monthly #1PM monthly #2PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position86% (134 of 156 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicEsports ±0 pts, n=255———
Settled positions, side won52% of 255 at avg 52¢, ROI +10%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 29% of 14)10% (won 82% of 56)12% (won 0% of 2)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢45% (won 42% of 115)36% (won 98% of 198)6% (won 0% of 1)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢34% (won 59% of 87)35% (won 99% of 191)65% (won 73% of 11)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up15% (won 74% of 39)19% (won 100% of 107)18% (won 67% of 3)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.