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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493surfandturf
Record (consensus markets)30% (207–482, n=689)52% (273–252, n=525)
Consensus PnL$25K$4.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #218was PM monthly #326
Sides with the consensus62% (54 of 87 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • MMA +4 pts n=148, ROI +10%
  • NBA +4 pts n=76, ROI +12%
Weakest topicElections −1 pts, n=169NFL −11 pts, n=58
Settled positions, side won57% of 1432 at avg 57¢, ROI −1%53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢41% (won 2% of 587)20% (won 12% of 109)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 48% of 31)21% (won 46% of 114)
Entries 50–70¢3% (won 71% of 41)33% (won 60% of 176)
Entries 70¢ and up54% (won 99% of 773)26% (won 82% of 137)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.