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D7
Consensus PnL $25K · win rate 30% (204–477, n=681) · PM monthly #218 · holds 82 consensus positions
0xd71776a8...31213b85Polymarket
⚖️Arb🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$24.8K
Record
204W / 477L
Win Rate
30.0%
of 681 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#2547
Source
PM monthly #218
Record (90 d)
1813/4070 · 45%
Trades
14,609
Markets
13,536
Volume
$1.4M
Top consensus positions
82 in listed consensus markets · 53 of 82 on the consensus side (65%)- Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?No $141 · now 89¢ · in at 88¢with the consensus (33% of 6)
- Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?No $137 · now 25¢ · in at 63¢with the consensus (92% of 12)
- Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No $122 · now 48¢ · in at 47¢against the consensus (Yes)
- Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?No $111 · now 100¢ · in at 100¢with the consensus (20% of 5)
- Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?No $102 · now 100¢ · in at 100¢with the consensus (17% of 6)
- Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?No $86 · now 100¢ · in at 100¢against the consensus (Yes)
- Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?No $86 · now 100¢ · in at 100¢against the consensus (Yes)
- Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?No $86 · now 100¢ · in at 100¢against the consensus (Yes)