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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495Flaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)54% (15227–13090, n=28317)52% (6563–6075, n=12638)63% (989–573, n=1562)
Consensus PnL$355K$3.6M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #88PM monthly #10PM monthly #91
Sides with the consensus64% (308 of 479 open)69% (136 of 198 open)72% (54 of 75 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +18 pts n=2680, ROI +13%
  • Tennis +18 pts n=652, ROI +15%
  • NBA +19 pts n=101, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicEconomy −1 pts, n=125Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won46% of 14654 at avg 37¢, ROI +8%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢53% (won 11% of 7732)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 59% of 1834)16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 89% of 1730)16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up23% (won 98% of 3358)39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495Flaznorpndb1
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
same side · consensus No
Yes $537—Yes $534