Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xcba9371dcbbd7a48b477f04274376e1feea9f812sainttroplayBreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)31% (148–330, n=478)71% (10–4, n=14)45% (542–652, n=1194)50% (1028–1027, n=2055)
Consensus PnL-$5.6K$4.4M$10.6M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #982was PM monthly #11PM monthly #1PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position88% (145 of 164 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +64 pts n=130, ROI +63%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 130 at avg 36¢, ROI +63%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 100% of 20)0%10% (won 82% of 56)5% (won 94% of 49)
Entries 30–50¢79% (won 100% of 103)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 98% of 198)42% (won 99% of 382)
Entries 50–70¢5% (won 100% of 7)50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 99% of 191)49% (won 99% of 446)
Entries 70¢ and up0%0%19% (won 100% of 107)5% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.