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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c000gringo00RN1surfandturf
Record (consensus markets)58% (393–283, n=676)75% (6–2, n=8)47% (13854–15338, n=29192)54% (225–189, n=414)
Consensus PnL$49K$3.5M$13.4M$9.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #385was PM monthly #19PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #326
Sides with the consensus86% (25 of 29 open)no open consensus position75% (3 of 4 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won99% of 618 at avg 60¢, ROI +33%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢12% (won 100% of 77)0%10% (won 57% of 2537)—
Entries 30–50¢14% (won 98% of 88)0%22% (won 94% of 5518)—
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 99% of 207)100% (won 86% of 7)36% (won 99% of 8928)—
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 100% of 246)0%32% (won 100% of 7821)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.