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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xef9a0ef24gdf3546gheux246dd5ghsainttroplayBreakTheBankjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)61% (1159–754, n=1913)71% (10–4, n=14)45% (542–652, n=1194)50% (10–10, n=20)
Consensus PnL$23K$4.4M$10.6M$5.3M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #966was PM monthly #11PM monthly #1PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position90% (147 of 164 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +10 pts n=786, ROI +11%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won68% of 797 at avg 58¢, ROI +11%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%—
Entries under 30¢13% (won 15% of 107)0%10% (won 82% of 56)—
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 51% of 123)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 98% of 198)—
Entries 50–70¢34% (won 73% of 271)50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 99% of 191)—
Entries 70¢ and up37% (won 91% of 296)0%19% (won 100% of 107)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.