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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xf5848342fc388908f2d25a9012cc18a0ad193979Flaznorpndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market74% (424–151, n=575)no settled market68% (303–140, n=443)
Consensus PnL—$46K—-$55K
Tracked asPM monthly #645PM monthly #20PM monthly #158PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position71% (45 of 63 open)no open consensus position67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • MLB +5 pts n=17, ROI +44%
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40NFL −8 pts, n=71—
Settled positions, side won—44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢—34% (won 10% of 30)19% (won 10% of 96)1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢—19% (won 29% of 17)21% (won 35% of 105)26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢—13% (won 55% of 11)27% (won 54% of 132)40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up—34% (won 83% of 30)33% (won 91% of 163)33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.