Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xfacfa554306c067bc5fd3be22390846e75bd2940HomeRunHazard
Record (consensus markets)no settled market54% (208–175, n=383)
Consensus PnL—$232K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #979PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)70% (137 of 195 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won—100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—32% (won 100% of 31)
Entries 50–70¢—57% (won 100% of 55)
Entries 70¢ and up—10% (won 100% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xfacfa554306c067bc5fd3be22390846e75bd2940HomeRunHazard
UMass vs. Toledo
same side · consensus Toledo
UMass $31UMass $975