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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xfacfa554306c067bc5fd3be22390846e75bd2940BreakTheBankHomeRunHazard
Record (consensus markets)no settled market56% (20–16, n=36)54% (208–178, n=386)
Consensus PnL$0$822K$230K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #979PM monthly #1PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)47% (8 of 17 open)69% (135 of 195 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +51 pts n=14, ROI +48%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47%100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%
Entries under 30¢—0%1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—57% (won 100% of 13)32% (won 100% of 31)
Entries 50–70¢—39% (won 100% of 9)57% (won 100% of 55)
Entries 70¢ and up—4% (won 100% of 1)10% (won 100% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xfacfa554306c067bc5fd3be22390846e75bd2940BreakTheBankHomeRunHazard
Nets vs. Pelicans
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Nets $235KPelicans $3.9K
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Grizzlies $116KNuggets $5.1K
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $12KNuggets $21K
Wizards vs. Pacers
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $3.7KWizards $12K
Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $2Nuggets $37
Spurs vs. Bulls
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $166KSpurs $9.3K
Spread: Pacers (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $10KPacers $13K
Spread: Pelicans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Nets $759Nets $5.2K
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
—Grizzlies $279Grizzlies $764