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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026BikesarethebestprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)35% (3665–6666, n=10331)no settled market50% (1116–1127, n=2243)48% (14146–15606, n=29752)
Consensus PnL$3.1M—$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #126—PM monthly #52PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus72% (18 of 25 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position59% (26 of 44 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won——99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢——5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢——41% (won 99% of 418)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢——49% (won 99% of 504)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up——5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026BikesarethebestprimmRN1
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Magda Linette
opposite sides · consensus Mai Hontama
Magda Linette $3.1K——Mai Hontama $18K
Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $11K——Over $9
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K——Over $1.6K
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Spurs $265——Kings $121
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sumit Nagal
same side · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
Sumit Nagal $4.5K——Sumit Nagal $1.0K
Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 208.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $4.6K——Over $17
Charlottesville: Max Hans Rehberg vs Aidan Mayo
same side · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
Max Hans Rehberg $2.4K——Max Hans Rehberg $232
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Zsombor Piros
same side · consensus Zsombor Piros
Zsombor Piros $704——Zsombor Piros $960
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K——Over $360