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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xffAaEFb5f6762Cc70cb575Da8722E8C895E38cEe-1767374935341joseph00677sainttroplaybeachboy4
Record (consensus markets)47% (188–215, n=403)53% (10–9, n=19)71% (10–4, n=14)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$17K$5.6M$4.4M$5.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #990PM monthly #2was PM monthly #11was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic———NBA −6 pts, n=93
Settled positions, side won99% of 202 at avg 57¢, ROI +44%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 88% of 17)12% (won 0% of 2)0%3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 99% of 69)6% (won 0% of 1)50% (won 100% of 5)30% (won 57% of 63)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 100% of 50)65% (won 73% of 11)50% (won 100% of 5)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up33% (won 100% of 66)18% (won 67% of 3)0%14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.