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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
20YrsOfBoredomndb1
Record (consensus markets)40% (499–742, n=1241)66% (876–458, n=1334)
Consensus PnL$13K$4.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #893PM monthly #26
Sides with the consensus75% (3 of 4 open)74% (29 of 39 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicEntertainment ±0 pts, n=415NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won36% of 879 at avg 37¢, ROI +3%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢52% (won 5% of 459)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 36% of 85)20% (won 40% of 253)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 62% of 94)24% (won 57% of 310)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 84% of 241)43% (won 93% of 544)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.