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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
6512395314597884BreakTheBank0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188
Record (consensus markets)52% (1677–1562, n=3239)45% (542–652, n=1194)46% (131–154, n=285)
Consensus PnL$1.4M$10.6M$19.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #474PM monthly #1was PM monthly #715
Sides with the consensus67% (6 of 9 open)90% (147 of 164 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——College Basketball −12 pts, n=174
Settled positions, side won54% of 2244 at avg 49¢, ROI +3%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢21% (won 10% of 471)10% (won 82% of 56)0% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢27% (won 41% of 615)36% (won 98% of 198)42% (won 46% of 565)
Entries 50–70¢32% (won 71% of 722)35% (won 99% of 191)57% (won 51% of 766)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 90% of 436)19% (won 100% of 107)0% (won 100% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.