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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
6512395314597884beachboy40xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816joseph00677
Record (consensus markets)52% (1675–1561, n=3236)68% (43–20, n=63)61% (495–321, n=816)53% (10–9, n=19)
Consensus PnL-$36K$5.8M-$352K$5.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #474was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #51PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus55% (6 of 11 open)100% (1 of 1 open)71% (5 of 7 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=93Soccer ±0 pts, n=115—
Settled positions, side won54% of 2244 at avg 49¢, ROI +3%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢21% (won 10% of 471)3% (won 17% of 6)15% (won 29% of 125)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢27% (won 41% of 615)30% (won 57% of 63)34% (won 58% of 283)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢32% (won 71% of 722)54% (won 51% of 115)43% (won 69% of 354)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 90% of 436)14% (won 86% of 29)7% (won 80% of 60)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.