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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
88MBreakTheBank0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Record (consensus markets)43% (840–1128, n=1968)45% (542–652, n=1194)61% (495–320, n=815)
Consensus PnL$125K$10.6M$4.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #629PM monthly #1was PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)90% (146 of 163 open)57% (4 of 7 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicMentions −14 pts, n=12—Soccer ±0 pts, n=115
Settled positions, side won55% of 1450 at avg 42¢, ROI +13%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢26% (won 18% of 381)10% (won 82% of 56)15% (won 29% of 125)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 58% of 526)36% (won 98% of 198)34% (won 58% of 283)
Entries 50–70¢30% (won 77% of 440)35% (won 99% of 191)43% (won 69% of 354)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 88% of 103)19% (won 100% of 107)7% (won 80% of 60)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.