Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Accomplished-FrameworkFlaznorpjoseph00677S-Works
Record (consensus markets)49% (270–286, n=556)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)43% (10–13, n=23)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL$4.0K$4.1M$3.3M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #924PM monthly #9PM monthly #8PM monthly #73
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)74% (162 of 220 open)no open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢—15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up—40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.