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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Arman200gringo00sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)60% (265–177, n=442)75% (6–2, n=8)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$418$3.5M$4.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #926was PM monthly #19was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus40% (4 of 10 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicFinance −16 pts, n=19——
Settled positions, side won59% of 551 at avg 57¢, ROI 0%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢28% (won 8% of 156)0%0%
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 33% of 55)0%50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 67% of 75)100% (won 86% of 7)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up48% (won 91% of 265)0%0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.