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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Baddie | ndb1 | Sisyphus- | Wiretransferxyz | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 58% (419–300, n=719) | 96% (477–19, n=496) | 59% (363–253, n=616) |
| Consensus PnL | $580 | $4.7M | $643K | $883K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #891 | PM monthly #157 | PM monthly #314 | PM monthly #227 |
| Sides with the consensus | 87% (103 of 119 open) | 70% (57 of 81 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −8 pts, n=71 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% | 98% of 463 at avg 58¢, ROI +39% | 59% of 495 at avg 53¢, ROI +8% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 19% (won 10% of 96) | 4% (won 82% of 17) | 6% (won 17% of 29) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 21% (won 35% of 105) | 24% (won 97% of 112) | 35% (won 46% of 171) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 27% (won 54% of 132) | 48% (won 99% of 224) | 47% (won 66% of 233) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 33% (won 91% of 163) | 24% (won 100% of 110) | 13% (won 89% of 62) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Baddie | ndb1 | Sisyphus- | Wiretransferxyz |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $294 | No $82K | — | — |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $56 | Yes $2.4K | — | — |