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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BlackMamba08BreakTheBankndb1
Record (consensus markets)48% (93–100, n=193)45% (583–722, n=1305)63% (993–578, n=1571)
Consensus PnL$6.5K$7.3M$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #826PM monthly #3PM monthly #96
Sides with the consensus38% (3 of 8 open)88% (22 of 25 open)71% (56 of 79 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=100, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won39% of 54 at avg 23¢, ROI +11%97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢63% (won 21% of 34)10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 67% of 12)35% (won 98% of 206)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 67% of 6)35% (won 100% of 204)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up4% (won 100% of 2)20% (won 100% of 116)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBlackMamba08BreakTheBankndb1
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $407KNo $335K