Consensus PnL $6.5K · win rate 49% (93–96, n=189) · PM monthly #813 · holds 4 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$6.5K
Record
93W / 96L
Win Rate
49.0%
of 189 settled
Batting Avg
85.7%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1245
Source
PM monthly #813
Record (90 d)
31/118 · 26%
Trades
102
Markets
237
Volume
$14.8K
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Top consensus positions
4 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 4 on the consensus side (25%)- CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 2.5Over $74 · now 53¢ · in at 28¢against the consensus (Under)
- Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?Yes $13 · now 1¢ · in at 0¢against the consensus (No)
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?Yes $6 · now 1¢ · in at 0¢against the consensus (No)
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?No $1 · now 26¢ · in at 25¢with the consensus (86% of 15)
Specialties
51 settled consensus markets · held side won 39% at an average entry of 24¢- Soccer
+16 pts
side won 39% of 51 · avg entry 24¢
ROI +12%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 63%(won 22% of 32)
- 30–50¢: 24%(won 67% of 12)
- 50–70¢: 10%(won 60% of 5)
- 70¢ and up: 4%(won 100% of 2)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.