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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Donkey14 | googleplay | SineNooneEI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (23–20, n=43) | 30% (3–7, n=10) | 50% (5–5, n=10) | 50% (5–5, n=10) |
| Consensus PnL | $543K | -$69K | $430K | $183K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #953 | PM monthly #17 | PM monthly #64 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (5 of 10 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet | none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | — | 100% of 5 at avg 51¢, ROI +49% | 100% of 4 at avg 51¢, ROI +50% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | — | 0% | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 57% (won 100% of 13) | — | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 50% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 39% (won 100% of 9) | — | 80% (won 100% of 4) | 50% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 4% (won 100% of 1) | — | 0% | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Donkey14 | googleplay | SineNooneEI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers opposite sides · consensus Thunder | Trail Blazers $33K | Thunder $39K | — | — |