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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankGamblingOdysseyndb1
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–667, n=1227)55% (888–721, n=1609)65% (889–469, n=1358)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$739K$4.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #2was PM monthly #890PM monthly #148
Sides with the consensus60% (15 of 25 open)83% (5 of 6 open)73% (33 of 45 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%57% of 1595 at avg 49¢, ROI +5%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)18% (won 24% of 288)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)39% (won 47% of 619)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)22% (won 76% of 358)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)21% (won 84% of 330)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.