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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankfantasy7788pravicarobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Record (consensus markets)56% (20–16, n=36)60% (3–2, n=5)0% (0–1, n=1)61% (20–13, n=33)
Consensus PnL$822K$230K$384$230K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #88PM monthly #839PM monthly #21 + pinned
Sides with the consensus33% (2 of 6 open)33% (1 of 3 open)no open consensus position67% (4 of 6 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +52 pts n=11, ROI +49%
none with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +47 pts n=18, ROI +45%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 20 at avg 50¢, ROI +47%100% of 3 at avg 56¢, ROI +49%50% of 2 at avg 53¢, ROI −7%100% of 22 at avg 54¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢0%0%0%5% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢60% (won 100% of 12)33% (won 100% of 1)0%36% (won 100% of 8)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 7)67% (won 100% of 2)100% (won 50% of 2)41% (won 100% of 9)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 1)0%0%18% (won 100% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankfantasy7788pravicarobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
opposite sides · consensus Spirit
—FUT Esports $1.7K—Spirit $338K
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
—G2 $38K—MOUZ $299K
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)
opposite sides · consensus G2
—G2 $120K—MOUZ $146K