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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankjoseph00677MrConsistencysainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)45% (542–652, n=1194)53% (10–9, n=19)36% (492–869, n=1361)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$11.1M$5.6M$19K$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #2was PM monthly #989was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus79% (133 of 168 open)no open consensus position33% (1 of 3 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=139, ROI +49%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%68% of 657 at avg 39¢, ROI +24%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 79% of 58)12% (won 0% of 2)33% (won 42% of 217)0%
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 200)6% (won 0% of 1)36% (won 74% of 239)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 194)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 88% of 149)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 107)18% (won 67% of 3)8% (won 98% of 52)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.